Archive for the ‘Market stats’ Category

A Look at the Philadelphia Inventory and Price Ranges

Thursday, August 7th, 2008

As real estate agents, we look at a number of metrics when evaluating the performance of a market.  One of the key factors is ‘inventory accumulation.’  This is simply the number of units on the market divided by the average number of sales per month.  In other words, this number represents the number of months it will take to sell all of the homes on the market assuming that no other homes are listed.

Right now, Philadelphia has an inventory accumulation of 9.  What is interesting about this is if you look at the breakdown by price range:

From $200,000 to $300,000 the accumulation is 9.
From $300,000 to $400,000 the accumulation is 10.
From $400,000 to $500,000 the accumulation is 11.

Notice a pattern?  Now here is where it gets interesting:

From $500,000 to $600,000 the accumulation is 18!

I wish I could say that it improves after that, but it keeps climing to an inventory accumulation of 56 when you get to $2,000,000.

So what does this mean?  Simply put, the city-wide numbers that are being reported are heavily skewed because of the luxury properties that just are not selling.  However, for the “average” Philadelphia buyer and seller under $500,000, the market is strong and moving along.  For a more detailed look at the market on a nieghborhood level, see our exclusive market report.

Forbes Names Philadelphia a Best Buy

Friday, August 1st, 2008

In a recent article by Forbes, Philadelphia was named the 4th best city in which to buy real estate.  Their decision included factors such as increasing values, shrinking vacancy rates, and the relative cost of owning versus renting.  Simply put, “Philly is a great place to buy a new home.”  It’s relieving to see the media finally recognizing that though the nation may be still recovering from the housing slump, there are a number of cities where purchasing still makes financial sense.

Center City condos thriving

Thursday, June 5th, 2008

If you’re looking for property that hangs on to its value even when the real estate market twists and turns, a condominium in Center City may be what you seek. Two decades of sales downtown suggest that as a long-term investment, condos are remarkably bulletproof.

“Center City real estate has appreciated an average of 15 percent a year since 1985, greater than the inflation rate,” says Center City District executive director Paul Levy. “Condos aren’t something that you own for just 15 minutes. They are long-term investments with a proven record of appreciation.”

That’s consistent with the trend nationally, says Mark Zandi, chief economist for Moody’s Economy.com. “Downtown condo markets across the country have held up better than I would have expected,” he says, “given . . . demand and despite the glut of space.”

In the first quarter of 2008, data from the City Recorder of Deeds Office show, condo sales throughout Philadelphia stayed about even with the same quarter last year, at more than 500 units.

Thirty-two condos in Center City sold for $1 million or more in the first quarter, the data show. The most expensive went for $4.7 million at the Ayer on West Washington Square. For all of 2007, 115 condos sold for $1 million or more; in 2006, 49 sold. (More $1 million-plus condos are being built now, thus sales numbers for them are increasing.)

Currently, there are about 10,000 condo units in Center City, more than twice the 1990 number, because of new construction and conversion of nonresidential buildings encouraged by tax-abatement programs enacted by City Council in the late 1990s.

Hundreds of units are still in the pipeline. And despite slower sales regionally and in the city’s single-family-home market, most developers - especially those with high-rise and higher-end projects - appear to be hanging in.

Among such projects are 1706 Rittenhouse Street, 10 Rittenhouse Square, the Murano, and Residences at the Ritz-Carlton. Developer Carl Dranoff plans to break ground June 19 for 777 South Broad, a 146-unit, five-story condo building.

Not surprisingly, given the overall real estate market, some condo plans have not come to fruition. More than a dozen projects have been canceled, delayed or postponed over the last 18 months.

Newly built or not, Center City’s condos continue to draw a mix of buyers.

“You hear everyone saying this is an ideal market for first-time buyers, and it is,” says Matthew Young, 24, an engineer who has just closed on a $410,000 condo at Seventh and Bainbridge Streets.

“I was fortunate that, thanks to my savings and my family, I was able to put 60 percent down,” says Young, who searched for a month before finding what he wanted.

With 73 percent of Center City residents working downtown, Levy says, gas prices may prove as big a boost to real estate there as nightlife and cultural opportunities. “It soon may be cheaper to fly home to the edge of the suburbs,” he says.

“I didn’t want a car,” says consultant Gail S. Bowers, 46, who with her partner, Temple professor Barry Vacker, 51, has a contract on a 1,000-square-foot studio at 1352 Lofts on South Street near Broad. Prices there range from $349,000 to $1.4 million, says Kathy Conway of Prudential Fox & Roach.

Vacker, an architecture buff, wanted something built in the 20th or 21st century, and Bowers wanted a low-rise. Both wanted “fabulous space with a lot of light, and we got it,” she says.

There was a time, from 1987 to 1997, when condos in the city lost value. But data compiled by Kevin Gillen, a research fellow at Wharton and vice president of Econsult, a Philadelphia economic-forecasting service, show prices rising consistently since.

Through the fourth quarter of last year, prices appeared to be holding, or at least not falling precipitously, Gillen says. And during the first quarter of this year, which he describes as one of the slowest winters in years, condos were moving.

Prices of comparable units in older buildings show substantial gains over the last decade, without factoring in inflation. For example, a one-bedroom in Wanamaker House sold for $92,500 in 1997, and a comparable unit sold for $365,000 in 2007, according to records kept by Center City condo developer/Realtor Allan Domb.

A Society Hill Towers two-bedroom that went for $122,000 in 1997 sold for $550,000 last year. A one-bedroom in Academy House that brought $72,500 in 1997 sold for $310,000 last year.

If the 1997 prices were adjusted for inflation and condo values had been flat over those 10 years, the one-bedroom at Wanamaker House would cost $119,500 today, and the two-bedroom at Society Hill Towers $157,605.

In the first quarter, with 47 units claimed, the Arts Condominium at 13th and Locust Streets was the city’s best seller, deed records show. Of its 372 units, 371 have settled, says property manager Mary Galgon. Remaining is a $319,000 one-bedroom penthouse.

John Featherman, an agent with Prudential Fox & Roach, owns several condos at the Arts, sold about a dozen, and leased about 25 for clients.

“Where can someone have bought a studio for around $100,000 to $135,000?” Featherman asks. “The units are small and they generally have mini-kitchens, but you’ll take these units over a dorm.”

The quarter’s second-best seller was Parc Rittenhouse at 17th and Locust Streets, with 36 condos sold. Of its 260 units, 153 have closed, and 42 are set to close over the next 120 days.

Former New Jersey Superior Court Judge Steven Fluharty and his wife, Joan, have lived in their two-bedroom, two-bath unit with den at the Western Union Building at 11th and Locust Streets for about a month and are “just loving it,” he says. “Everyone said Rittenhouse [Square], but we wanted something close to everything but quieter. This was it.”

So far, just under 70 of the building’s 99 units, which go for $400,000 to $1.5 million, have sold, and more than 40 have settled, says Bruce Lang of Coldwell Banker Realty Corp., who is handling sales.

For a growing number of buyers, the Center City condo is a second home. Like Curtin and Lisa King of Northeast, Md., who in March bought a one-bedroom unit at the Winne on Front Street for about $379,000.

Both are in their 40s and are in marketing.

“My husband calls [the condo] an 800-square-foot addition to our home,” she says. “I had sold some real estate and we wanted to find a place to put the money to good use.”

They chose Philadelphia, “because the housing market is strong and healthy,” she says. “We are planning to spend a lot of time here.”

Reprinted from philly.com

By Alan J. Heavens, Inquirer Real Estate Writer

Housing bubble? Not in Center City Philly!

Wednesday, April 23rd, 2008

Center City Q1 Real Estate Price

For months we’ve been telling you the Center City real estate market is stronger than you might think from listening to the news. We’ve blogged about why Philadelphia is different and told you about developers who are investing in the city. But our first quarter report provides the best proof to-date of the ongoing strength of Center City real estate.

The median price for a Center City home is $310,000 up around 13% from last quarter 13% from Q1 of last year. The average home is at a whopping $384,000 up almost 10% for the quarter. The upward trends show fundamental strength in the market and suggests market activity will increase. Buyers need to be prepared to act fast as homes will sell more quickly than 2007.

Sign up to read our full report and receive quarterly updates on the state of the market.

TIME Magazine says: “Now is the best time to buy”

Wednesday, February 20th, 2008

I knew Philadelphia was lucky in avoiding much of the real estate melt down affecting other parts of the country. Our report shows how market remaining flat from 2006 to 2007 while other parts of the country showed huge declines. TIME Magazine just published an article that made us realize we’re doubly lucky: While we are avoiding the bubble we still get to benefit from the lower interest rates to combat it!

In “Ignore the Headlines” TIME Magazine shows how buyers can save money even if the market goes down due to historically low interest rates. What they say is:

Consider a typical home that sells for $218,900. You put down 20% and get a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage at today’s rate of 5.5%. Monthly principal and interest come to $994.31. Let’s say that 12 months from now the same house goes for 10% less, or $197,010. But by then the recession is history and the Fed is jacking up rates to stem inflation. If mortgage costs rise a point, to 6.5%, your monthly payment would be $994.94 and you’d have saved nothing. Meanwhile, home prices might steady and sellers might become less willing to negotiate. And you have spent a year living someplace you’d rather not be.

Buying today will save you money on your monthly expense and give you some built in protection against market swings in the future. Given that Philadelphia is less likely to show declines in 2008 than the rest of the country, now is a great time to buy in Center City. So…

Contact a Philly Living agent to find your home today!

Center City East vs West

Thursday, January 17th, 2008

While the numbers were fairly flat for the year, looking at East vs West you begin to see how real estate prices changed at more of a neighborhood level.  Center City East had a very strong year up over 7%. 

You can download the stats for your neighborhood at http://www.phillyliving.com/report/

Philadelphia 2007 Market Performance

Tuesday, January 8th, 2008

We are pleased to announce we just published our Main Line and Center City market reports for 2007. Go here to get them and learn how real estate is doing in your neighborhood.

Main Line and Center City both held their value despite weak national trends. Center City 2007 median price was $291,900 and the average was $251,025. Main Line median price was $393,000 for the year, and its average price $552,101!

Download the reports to see the price trends for the last 5 years and learn how the market is performing.

Top Center City Neighborhoods: East Falls and Bella Vista both increased more than 10%.

Top Main Line area: Radnor Township.

Our reports are the only ones that go down to the neighborhood level. Read them and learn what you need to know to be a smart buyer or seller.

Philly Real Estate market is better than you think….

Thursday, November 1st, 2007

Don’t listen to the media.  Center City real estate is much better than the rest of the country:

  • Center City prices now are basically the same as they were in 2006
  • The number of sales is lower than it used to be (down 25%) — but what is selling is selling fast (within historical averages)
  • Prices in Center City East and the East Falls/Manayunk/Roxborough/Chestnut Hill areas are increasing 13% and 6% respectively since last year!

Get the full details by reading our quarterly market report which analyzes all sales in the Center City area.

Inquirer: Philadelphia real estate rebounds

Sunday, September 23rd, 2007

While we noticed it back in Q2, its good that the press is beginning to pick up on real estate recovery trend. The article “In the city, widespread increase in median price” notes that the median price for all of Philadelphia has gone from $130,000 to $145,000 and agents are noticing an increase in buyer activity. Of course the median prices in Center City are much higher (and increasing!!!). You can view all the details in our market report, an one-of-a-kind analysis of the Center City real estate market.

Center City Real Estate Market Shows Increased Strength Q2

Sunday, August 5th, 2007

Despite national downward trends, Center City Philadelphia real estate shows signs of renewed strength in Q2 according the analysis we just completed of real estate sales in the first two quarters of 2007.

For the last few months, we have been noticing that the market has been heating up, but even we were surprised when we took a look at June sales.  The sales of Center City homes rose 12.6% last month.  Additionally, the median price for homes is now $304,000, 10% more than a year ago.  The median is the point where half the homes sold for more and half for less.

Nationally, the story is not as good.  According to the National Association of Realtors, sales dropped of 3.8% while the median price increased only 0.3%. These national trends are driving much of the negative press about real estate.

Philadelphia inventory levels did match the rest of the nation.  Both markets currently have 8.8 months of inventory for sale which is at record highs.  

Why Philadelphia Is Different

Real estate is all about location, and quite frankly, our location in Center City Philadelphia, is good and getting even better.  

The city is on an upward swing and the increasing quality of life ensures a growing demand for housing.  Just last month, Forbes Magazine ranked Philadelphia the 9th Best City for Young Professionals, beating out Denver, Charlotte, Chicago, and San Diego.  This fundamental strength is being recognized nationally and will continue to drive the real estate market.

The second factor helping Philadelphia is our low sub-prime mortgage default rate.  Philadelphia’s default rate is within historical ranges, unlike some other parts of the country.  As a result, there is less downward pressure on Center City Philadelphia market prices.

Buyers: Good Properties Are Selling Fast!

The number of properties for sale is at record highs but the good properties are selling fast!   You should be watching the new listings carefully and be prepared to move quickly if you see something that is priced right.  

Additionally, you may be able to find a bargain property that has been on the market for a long time.  It is critical that you work with your agent to come up with a buying strategy that works for you.

Philly Living agents can help you find the perfect house.  We are experts in the marketplace and can help you put together a buying strategy to find the home of your dreams for no cost.  Contact us for a no obligation consultation. 

Sellers: Pricing And Marketing Is Key! 

Now more than ever, it is critical you set your home price correctly and work with an agent that will proactively sell your house.    When the market was overheated, houses would sell themselves.  In this market, your agent will need a selling strategy to ensure your house does not get lost in the 8.8 months of inventory.  Your agent will need to work with you to price your home correctly AND develop a well thought out marketing campaign to find buyers.  Done right, the numbers speak for themselves with housing sale up 12.6%. 

At Philly Living we use a proven methodology to get your home seen by more buyers.  Contact us to learn how.